This prediction market tracks whether Donald Trump will be impeached or removed from office before January 1, 2027. Currently, the market prices this outcome at 17%, reflecting trader estimates that Trump has an 83% chance of remaining in office through the end of 2026. Impeachment and removal require extraordinary political circumstances and would depend on congressional action or presidential resignation. The question is resolvable against official U.S. government records and congressional documentation. The low 17% odds indicate traders view removal as unlikely given current political conditions and voting dynamics. This type of political prediction market allows traders to quantify policy and leadership risk. Price movements typically respond to major political events, legislative developments, or shifts in congressional positions. The market closes on December 31, 2026, when the outcome becomes official based on whether Trump is still serving as President. With $59,041 in 24-hour volume and $432,703 total liquidity, this represents one of the more actively traded political markets.