Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 36% YES. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$177.78 (+178%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability36.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +2.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice forming
- Price jumped +2.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved up to 36.3% from 33.7% baseline — 7% shift
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$8K
Liquidity$25K
Current Probability36%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 3.5% → 2.3%
267 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets1
Anomalies
WarningPricez=2.6