Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 46% YES. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$117.39 (+117%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability46.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.5%Volume trend: steadyLiquidity: CInformed flowMature market (146d)
- Price moved -0.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: steady
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$818
Liquidity$44K
Current Probability46%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
267 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Good entry point — prices are stable with room to move
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