Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 36% YES. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$177.78 (+178%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability36.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +0.5%Volume trend: steadyLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice forming
- Price moved +0.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: steady
- Liquidity shift: Liquidity inflow 34% — now $25K
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$2K
Liquidity$25K
Current Probability36%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 4.0% → 2.5%
267 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
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AI Brief
Inflation overshooting 5% by year-end is priced at 37% despite moving up 2.5% in 24 hours, suggesting cautious repricing of wage-growth and commodity-risk scenarios. CPI and PCE reports remain the key catalysts, while ongoing Fed communications will signal whether price pressures warrant additional policy tightening beyond current expectations.
Anomalies
WarningLiqz=3.5