Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 82% NO. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$426.32 (+426%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability19.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: risingLiquidity: CLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$210
Liquidity$18K
Current Probability19%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 3.9% → 2.5%
267 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets8
AI Brief
Deeper cuts to 2.75% lower bound assigned only 17% probability, well below the 3.0% scenario, suggesting traders don't expect recession-level easing. This odds gap indicates market skepticism of aggressive cuts even if growth slows.