Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 83% NO. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$455.56 (+456%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability18.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: coolingLiquidity: AInformed flowMature market (133d)
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$63K
Liquidity$647K
Current Probability18%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
267 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
AI Brief
Alien existence confirmation trades at 18% odds by year-end 2026, pricing moderate skepticism that the US government will make an extraordinary disclosure despite UFO/UAP legislative momentum and declassification efforts. The deep liquidity ($728K) and pop-culture relevance suggest sustained retail interest in what remains a low-consensus-probability outcome.