The Insurrection Act of 1807 is a federal statute that allows the U.S. President to deploy military forces to suppress insurrection, rebellion, or domestic violence. This prediction market explores whether the Act will be formally invoked by April 30, 2026. The extremely low current odds of 1% for a YES outcome suggest the prediction market views such an invocation as highly unlikely within the specified timeframe. Historically, the Act has been invoked rarely in American history—most notably during the 1957 Little Rock school integration crisis and briefly in 1992 during the Los Angeles riots. Any invocation would require either a major domestic uprising or civil unrest severe enough to warrant emergency military intervention as formally determined by the President and approved by Congress. The market's steep price tilt toward NO reflects baseline expectations that normal constitutional processes and law enforcement will manage any civil disturbances without resort to this extraordinary executive power. Traders actively monitoring this market are watching for significant geopolitical shifts, domestic political escalation, or civil unrest that might make such an action more probable in the near term.