The Iran-Israel-US tensions represent a significant geopolitical situation monitored globally for potential escalation or de-escalation. This market asks whether the conflict ends or stabilizes substantially by June 30, 2026, roughly 2.5 months from the current date. Current trading at 95% YES odds reflects strong market consensus that a resolution pathway—whether through diplomatic channels, ceasefire agreements, or natural reduction in hostilities—will emerge within this timeframe. Markets of this type price in several factors: historical patterns of regional de-escalation, current diplomatic signals, military readiness assessments, and international pressure dynamics. The high odds suggest confidence in stabilization rather than further escalation over the next 75 days. Resolution criteria typically require the absence of major military engagement and a return to baseline tensions below active conflict thresholds. Price trajectory has remained steady at this level, indicating consistent participant conviction in this outcome.