Mojtaba Khamenei is the brother of Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei and holds a significant, if often behind-the-scenes, role in Iranian political circles. His potential departure from Iran would constitute a major geopolitical event with potential implications for Iranian domestic politics and regional stability. The prediction market currently prices this scenario at 1% YES odds, suggesting traders assess this as an extremely unlikely outcome within the remaining 13-day trading window. The market resolves on April 30, 2026, based on confirmed reports or credible documentation of Khamenei leaving Iranian territory, whether through official exit, exile claims, asylum applications, or authenticated international sightings and verification. Current pricing at 1% reflects strong trader confidence that he will remain within Iran through the resolution date. Given the compressed trading timeframe, the absence of credible reporting indicating imminent departure, and the apparent political stability in Iran, the low odds represent consensus market assessment that such a departure is highly improbable. Markets tracking high-impact geopolitical events of this nature typically exhibit minimal price movement when baseline probabilities remain at such extreme lows, unless significant breaking news or credible departure indicators emerge to shift trader conviction.