This market asks whether Donald Trump will be out of office as President of the United States by April 30, 2026—approximately two weeks from now. The timeframe is notably short for any significant political change. Presidential removal could occur through impeachment and conviction by the Senate, voluntary resignation, death, or constitutional incapacity due to illness or disability. At current odds of just 1% for YES, markets are pricing in an extremely low probability of any such event within this narrow window. Impeachment proceedings typically take months or years to unfold; the Senate would first need to receive articles of impeachment, convene, debate extensively, and vote to convict, with a supermajority of two-thirds required to remove. No immediate constitutional crisis or resignation signal has been widely reported in recent news. The 99% probability for NO reflects strong market confidence that Trump remains in office through April 30. Trading volume of $373,000 over the past 24 hours indicates moderate interest in this question, with $1.1 million in total liquidity available for traders. Any unexpected political development—resignation announcement, serious health crisis, or rapid impeachment proceedings—could shift odds significantly, though the tight deadline makes drastic probability swings unlikely.