Pete Hegseth was confirmed as Secretary of Defense in early 2025 and has been leading the Department of Defense under the Trump administration. The prediction market on his tenure tests whether he will depart from the position—either through resignation or removal—by April 30, 2026. This market is resolvable because the event has a clear end date and objective criteria: either Hegseth remains in office through April 30, or he does not. At 2% YES odds, the market currently reflects extremely low probability that he leaves before the deadline. This price suggests traders expect Hegseth to retain his position through the resolution date. The probability has remained stable in the low single digits since the market's inception, indicating consistent market confidence in his tenure continuation. Such low odds imply that a departure would require unexpected circumstances—whether political, personal, or related to policy conflicts. The liquidity level of over $43,000 indicates sufficient trading depth for those interested in expressing a view on his tenure through April. The market remains open for trading until the end-of-day on April 30, 2026.