The U.S.-Iran military relationship has been a central point of geopolitical tension for decades, with multiple escalations and de-escalations under various administrations. Since returning to office, the Trump administration has taken a notably hardline approach toward Iran, including military posturing and strategic positioning in the Middle East. This prediction market gauges whether Trump will make a public announcement formally ending military operations against Iran by June 30, 2026. The resolution requires an explicit statement from Trump or an official administration source confirming the cessation of military activities. Current market odds of 85% YES suggest that traders view this outcome as highly probable, reflecting either expectations of diplomatic resolution, shifting regional dynamics, or potential changes in strategic priorities. The timeframe of roughly 14 months provides ample opportunity for policy announcements or military developments that could trigger resolution. Market pricing indicates strong conviction among traders in a positive resolution, though the exact timing and form of any announcement remain uncertain. This prediction market serves as a barometer for geopolitical expectations and broader investor confidence in whether U.S.-Iran tensions might ease significantly during this period.