This market tracks whether global temperature will increase by 1.20–1.24°C in April 2026, a specific and measurable climate milestone. Global temperature trends are closely monitored by meteorologists worldwide, making this a resolvable event. At current YES odds of 28%, traders assess this narrow temperature range as relatively unlikely for April, though seasonal volatility and climate variability create ongoing uncertainty. Spring months typically show transitional temperature patterns as winter recedes globally. The market's liquidity of $3,542 and recent 24-hour volume of $1,491 indicate modest trader participation in this weather-focused prediction market. As April approaches and new climate data emerges, odds may shift to reflect evolving consensus on global temperature trajectory.