US-Iran relations have fluctuated significantly over the past decade under different administrations, shaped by nuclear negotiations, sanctions, and broader Middle East dynamics. This prediction market tracks whether at least one qualifying diplomatic meeting between US and Iranian officials will occur by June 30, 2026. Such meetings could involve high-level talks on nuclear programs, sanctions relief, prisoner exchanges, or broader regional security concerns. The market currently prices at 7% YES odds for no meeting occurring—or equivalently, 93% odds that at least one diplomatic engagement will take place. This high market confidence in a meeting occurring suggests traders anticipate either a shift in diplomatic posture, intervention from international partners, or escalating regional tensions that force dialogue channels to reopen. Historical precedent shows that even deeply adversarial nations often resume talks during periods of heightened geopolitical stakes. The low YES odds reflect market expectations that the current administration may explore diplomatic solutions despite historical tensions. Odds have remained relatively stable since market inception, with minor movements tied to major geopolitical developments. Resolution will depend on whether any meeting between US and Iranian officials meets the specific qualifier criteria established at market creation.