Reza Pahlavi, the son of Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, the last Shah of Iran, has resided in exile since the 1979 Islamic Revolution and has emerged as a vocal opposition figure calling for democratic reform in Iran. The prediction market addresses whether he will physically enter Iran's borders by April 30, 2026. This is an objectively resolvable event: either Pahlavi crosses the border before the deadline or he does not, with verification possible through credible news sources, travel records, or official statements. At 1% YES odds, traders are pricing the event as extremely unlikely, reflecting the significant legal, security, and political barriers that would prevent such a move. Pahlavi's entry would represent a dramatic shift in Iran's political landscape and carry substantial personal risk given his opposition status. The odds have remained near floor levels throughout the market's life, indicating consistent trader skepticism about the likelihood of this event occurring within the specified timeframe. Market participants are essentially betting that geopolitical, legal, or security constraints will prevent Pahlavi from entering Iran before the April deadline.