SpaceX has long been considered a candidate for public listing, with founder Elon Musk periodically discussing the possibility. The company, valued at over $180 billion in recent private funding rounds, remains one of the most valuable privately-held firms globally. An IPO by April 30, 2026 would represent an accelerated timeline, given that SpaceX has historically prioritized operational growth and investment in Starship development over public market access. The market resolves YES if SpaceX files an S-1 registration statement with the SEC and completes an IPO before the deadline; NO if no IPO occurs by that date. Current odds at 0% YES suggest the prediction market assigns minimal probability to this outcome within the 13-day window. This reflects both the compressed timeframe and SpaceX's stated operational focus on space missions rather than near-term monetization via listing. Historical precedent shows major aerospace and defense contractors remain private, supporting the low odds. Market participants may adjust positions based on regulatory announcements, funding updates, or public statements from leadership regarding IPO timing.