T1 is historically one of the most decorated esports organizations in League of Legends, with multiple World Championships, MSI titles, and regional victories that defined an entire era of competitive play. The LCK (League Champions Korea) represents the sport's premier regional competition, featuring eight of the strongest Korean teams battling for playoff supremacy throughout 2026. The current 14% YES odds indicate that prediction market traders view T1 as a significant underdog this season, despite the organization's legendary pedigree. This low valuation reflects genuine competitive strength across the league, with organizations like Gen.G, DRX, and other rising powerhouses all positioned as formidable contenders. Market perception likely incorporates uncertainty around T1's roster stability, individual player form heading into the season, coaching adjustments, and the team's ability to adapt to evolving meta shifts that could favor other compositions. For T1 to claim the LCK playoff title, the organization must achieve consistent regular season performance, navigate the single-elimination playoff bracket successfully, and execute flawlessly during the final stages. The relatively depressed odds suggest market participants have substantial confidence in competing squads' rosters and strategic positioning for 2026.
Deep dive — what moves this market
T1's dominance in esports extends back to the organization's founding as SK Telecom T1 during the Season 2 World Championship era. The team captured three World Championships (2013, 2015, 2016), multiple LCK titles, and maintained relevance as one of the sport's most recognizable franchises despite fluctuating roster changes and competitive cycles. The LCK evolved significantly with franchise ownership introduced in 2021, centralizing team investment around major conglomerates. Historically, T1 relied on exceptional individual talent and coaching expertise to overcome roster transitions. The current 14% odds suggest the market views T1 as facing structural disadvantages entering 2026. Factors supporting a T1 playoff victory include retention of high-performing players, rapid meta adaptation, and strong regular season momentum enabling a favorable bracket position. Historical precedent shows T1's ability to peak during playoffs despite regular season variance, suggesting tournament experience remains valuable. Conversely, factors preventing T1 include continued roster instability, younger player inconsistency, or meta shifts favoring compositions outside the team's comfort zone. If rival teams like Gen.G, backed by Samsung's resources, or DRX maintain competitive consistency, T1 may struggle to overcome deficits. Investment disparity between T1 and competing franchises has widened, potentially affecting player recruitment and coaching depth. International competition and player burnout during the season could disproportionately impact a legacy organization navigating younger implementations. The 14% odds reflect market consensus that T1 faces headwinds, suggesting traders believe at least three to four other teams maintain stronger rosters, better coaching cohesion, or meta alignment. The spread does not dismiss T1's chances entirely—14% is substantial in an eight-team field—but reflects reduced confidence compared to historical performance standards.
What traders watch for
LCK regular season standings finalized by October 2026; top-four seeding gives T1 playoff bracket advantage.
Individual player performances on key positions like ADC and mid-lane determine T1's teamfighting consistency.
Meta shifts toward specific champion archetypes could favor or disadvantage T1's current roster composition.
Semi-final and final playoff matchups in December 2026 against likely Gen.G or DRX contenders.
How does this market resolve?
This market resolves YES if T1 claims the LCK 2026 playoff championship. The outcome is determined by the official LCK playoff bracket concluded by December 31, 2026.
Prediction markets aggregate trader expectations into real-time probability estimates. On Polymarket Trade, every market question resolves YES or NO based on a specific event outcome; traders buy shares of the side they believe will resolve positively. Prices range 0¢ (certain no) to 100¢ (certain yes) and naturally reflect the crowd-implied probability of YES. This page summarizes the market state for readers arriving from search; for live trading (place orders, see order book depth, execute a trade) open the full interactive page linked above.
