This prediction market tracks whether the US government will officially confirm the existence of extraterrestrial life or intelligent alien civilization by April 30, 2026. Confirmation would require a clear, formal public statement from an official US government body, such as the Executive Office, Congress, or a federal agency like NASA or the Department of Defense. The current 2% YES odds reflect widespread skepticism about an official disclosure occurring within the remaining 11 days. Historically, UFO and UAP (Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena) investigations have progressed slowly, with decades passing between documented incidents and any government acknowledgment or verification. Recent congressional hearings on UAP have increased public interest and transparency, but formal confirmation of extraterrestrial life remains a rare and extraordinary claim requiring substantial evidence and diplomatic coordination. The low odds also suggest the market believes any credible disclosure announcement would require deliberate government preparation and official channels rather than spontaneous confirmation. No major recent developments indicate imminent official disclosure, keeping the YES odds heavily discounted. This market captures the growing tension between public transparency efforts on UAP topics and the institutional barriers to formal first-contact acknowledgment on a national stage.