This market tracks whether former U.S. President Donald Trump will make an official or unofficial visit to mainland China by April 30, 2026—just two weeks away. The question emerges amid ongoing U.S.-China diplomatic and trade tensions, particularly around technology policy and geopolitical influence. A presidential-level visit would typically require significant diplomatic coordination and would represent a major shift in bilateral relations, as such high-profile visits are rare outside of formal state functions and are usually scheduled months in advance. Currently trading at 1% YES odds, the market reflects strong skepticism about such a visit occurring within this narrow timeframe. The extremely low probability suggests participants see virtually no near-term indicators of imminent travel arrangements or diplomatic overtures that would precipitate a visit. Historically, presidential visits to China are meticulously planned with extensive protocol requirements and advance notice. Any late announcement would likely drive sharp price movement, as the market currently discounts this possibility almost entirely. The resolution deadline is April 30, 2026, at 00:00 UTC.