The French Election prediction markets aggregate forecasts on the 2027 presidential election and the candidates most likely to win. These markets reflect real-time probability assessments of each candidate's victory, synthesized from polling data, campaign momentum, policy analysis, and other observable political indicators. This collection tracks prediction markets on major candidates including François Bayrou, Mathilde Panot, Olivier Faure, François Asselineau, and Laurent Wauquiez. Each market represents the collective forecast of participants who actively analyze the same political information covered by news organizations and research firms. **What influences French election market prices?** Several factors correlate with price movements across candidate markets: - **Polling shifts** — Movements in major national and regional polls typically produce corresponding price changes, as these surveys provide direct measures of voter preference. - **Campaign events** — Speeches, endorsements, debate performances, and major announcements trigger participant reassessment and price adjustments. - **Economic data** — Employment figures, inflation rates, and growth metrics shape voter confidence and perception of candidate competence. - **International developments** — EU negotiations, NATO discussions, and cross-border policy issues influence electoral calculations. - **Party dynamics** — Coalition formation, primary outcomes, and internal party changes alter perceived electability and viability. - **Media coverage** — Investigative reports, leadership analysis, and policy discussions reshape public perception and market assessments. **Using this aggregator** Browse individual markets to see current market prices and trading depth. Higher prices indicate higher perceived probability of victory. Prices update continuously as new information arrives and participants adjust their assessments. Each market page displays real-time order books, transaction history, and price charts that show how forecasts have evolved over time. These markets aggregate diverse perspectives into probability estimates, functioning as an alternative data source for understanding French electoral dynamics.