Tensions in the Middle East have reached a critical juncture as the international community monitors the possibility of military escalation from multiple Gulf nations. This event aggregator brings together three interconnected prediction markets—each assessing the probability of strikes against Iran from the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Kuwait respectively, all by April 30, 2026. These markets reflect investor and analyst assessments of a complex geopolitical scenario. The UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Kuwait, as regional actors with distinct strategic interests and capabilities, may each independently choose to respond to ongoing tensions with military action. By grouping these three markets, we enable you to understand not just individual probabilities, but the broader regional risk landscape. As you examine the prices below, consider what they reveal about market expectations. If all three markets trade at similarly elevated probabilities, it suggests consensus that escalation is a serious concern. Conversely, if they diverge significantly, it may indicate nuanced assessments of each nation's actual willingness or capacity to act. Watch for price movements that could signal new information—diplomatic developments, military posturing statements, or shifts in international pressure—flowing through these markets in real time. The prices you see are not predictions of the future, but rather aggregated expectations from thousands of participants responding to available evidence. They provide a window into how informed observers are evaluating the likelihood of these events. Whether you're tracking geopolitical risk for investment purposes, research, or general understanding of global affairs, these markets offer a transparent mechanism for gauging collective foresight on a critical question facing the Middle East.