Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 89% NO. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$733.33 (+733%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability12.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -3.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price dropped -3.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$95K
Liquidity$43K
Current Probability12%
Resolves in22d
Low VolatilityVol: 13.9% → 6.5%
22 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
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AI Brief
Saudi Arabia striking Iran by April 30 sits at 14% with downward momentum (-2.5% in 24 hours), suggesting traders see escalation risk but lean toward restraint despite ongoing regional tensions. The month-long runway allows for diplomatic intervention or tactical de-escalation, with any major Israeli action or Iranian provocation as the primary near-term trigger.