As global temperatures continue to rise, the question of where 2026 ranks among the hottest years on record becomes increasingly significant for understanding climate trends. These three prediction markets invite you to explore one of the most pressing questions in climate science: will 2026 be the hottest year in recorded history, the second-hottest, or the fourth-hottest? These markets are grouped together because they all address a single underlying question—how extreme will 2026's global temperatures be relative to the historical record—while offering distinct probability perspectives on that outcome. By examining the prices across these three mutually exclusive predictions, you gain insight into the collective forecast of informed participants about what scientists will measure at year's end. The probability attached to each outcome reflects the likelihood that global mean temperatures in 2026 will rank at that specific position in the historical record. If you see elevated probability on the "hottest year" market, it suggests strong confidence that 2026 will exceed the temperature record set in 2023. A distributed probability across all three outcomes might indicate uncertainty about the exact ranking, even as warming itself is widely expected. These markets serve as a real-time gauge of how the informed public views the near-term climate trajectory. The spreads between probabilities can also reveal where opinion diverges—perhaps on whether 2026 will achieve a new record, or settle into a different position in the ranking. Pay attention to the implied confidence levels and how they shift as new climate data becomes available throughout the year. These prediction markets offer a transparent, quantifiable view of where informed opinion currently stands on one of the most important environmental metrics we track.