Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Slight YES lean at 62%. Momentum is strong down. Informed flow observed. Resolves in 2 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$61.29 (+61%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability62.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong down24h Price Change: -11.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice stable for 105 days
- Price dropped -11.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong down
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved down to 62.5% from 66.4% baseline — 6% shift
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$4K
Liquidity$7K
Current Probability62%
Resolves in1d
ConvergenceVol: 2.5% → 4.6%
33h to resolution. Convergence zone — prices move toward 0 or 100.
Convergence starting — sharp moves likely in next 24h
Related Markets1
Anomalies
CriticalPricez=3.8