About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: risingLiquidity: CLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$1K
Liquidity$24K
Current Probability1%
Resolves in2mo
Low VolatilityVol: 11.4% → 5.5%
83 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
AI Brief
JPMorgan Chase failing by June 30 is assigned 2% odds, with traders assigning near-zero systemic risk to the US banking system's largest institution over the next three months. Catalyst: June 30 deadline / banking stress indicators.
