Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 43% YES. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$132.56 (+133%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability43.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowMature market (92d)
- Price moved -0.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$436
Liquidity$4K
Current Probability43%
Resolves in1mo
Low VolatilityVol: 1.6% → 1.6%
52 days until resolution. Price movements are small and steady.
Good entry point — prices are stable with room to move
AI Brief
Powell faces 43% odds of removal by May 30 (up +1% in 24 hours), driven by political pressure but constrained by his statutory term through 2026. The long December expiration allows time for escalation via Congress or litigation, though historical precedent for Fed chair removal is minimal absent criminal conduct.