Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (98% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$4900.00 (+4900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability2.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: risingLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice stable for 86 days
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$1K
Liquidity$15K
Current Probability2%
Resolves in2mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
83 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
AI Brief
Jerome Powell faces essentially zero risk of federal charges by June 30 based on market pricing at 2% YES, reflecting the extraordinary political and legal barriers to indicting a sitting Fed Chair despite Trump administration tensions. The minimal 24-hour volume and tight 1% price movement suggest this is a niche speculation trade rather than a serious market assessment of legal jeopardy.