About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Slight YES lean at 62%. Momentum is strong down.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$61.29 (+61%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability62.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong down24h Price Change: -7.0%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: BMixed flowPrice stable for 74 days
- Price dropped -7.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong down
- Volume trend: cooling
- Mixed capital flow
- Sentiment divergence: active YES-buying pressure
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$5K
Liquidity$11K
Current Probability62%
Resolves in2mo
Low VolatilityVol: 1.6% → 1.5%
83 days until resolution. Price movements are small and steady.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets4
AI Brief
69% for June 30 IPO sits between the aggressive June 15 (42%) and safe September 30 (92%) poles, reflecting genuine uncertainty around SEC timing. This is the true decision point; traders are actively hedging between quarters. The -1.5% move shows slight caution creeping in as April progresses.