About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (94% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1566.67 (+1567%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability6.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +1.3%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice stable for 74 days
- Price moved +1.3pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$502
Liquidity$12K
Current Probability6%
Resolves in21mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.8% → 1.2%
632 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets4
AI Brief
SpaceX mid-range IPO valuation of $1.4T-$1.6T has 5% probability, suggesting markets see either a much lower or much higher valuation on IPO day, with the higher range slightly more probable than the lowest range tested.