Will the Republican Party win the CA-46 House seat?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (95% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1566.67 (+1567%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability6.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -1.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice stable for 74 days
- Price moved -1.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$7K
Liquidity$33K
Current Probability6%
Resolves in6mo
Low VolatilityVol: 1.2% → 1.4%
205 days until resolution. Price movements are small and steady.
Trending but far out — price may revert