Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects YES (97%). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$3.09 (+3%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability97.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.4%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BInformed flowInflowPrice stable for 69 days
- Price moved -0.4pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$2K
Liquidity$11K
Current Probability97%
Resolves in21d
Low VolatilityVol: 0.1% → 0.9%
21 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
AI Brief
The Bank of Canada is 97% consensus to hold rates at its April meeting, reflecting market agreement that current inflation and growth data don't yet justify a cut. With April 29 as the catalyst, this is a straightforward consensus trade with minimal edge. The official BoC announcement should settle the market with certainty.