About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects YES (94%).
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$6.38 (+6%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability94.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.5%Volume trend: steadyLiquidity: CMixed flowPrice stable for 70 days
- Price moved -0.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: steady
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$159
Liquidity$4K
Current Probability94%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.6% → 1.1%
266 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert