Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO).
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.1%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: CMixed flowPrice forming
- Price moved -0.1pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$2K
Liquidity$15K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in22d
Low VolatilityVol: 54.2% → 22.6%
22 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
AI Brief
The Bank of England signals 25bp moves as standard practice, never 50bp unless in crisis mode, making a half-point cut in April virtually impossible. Zero probability is justified by recent inflation persistence and cautious forward guidance ahead of the mid-April decision. No credible scenario supports such an aggressive cut at this juncture.