Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (95% NO). Large trader flow is active. Trading is very active today.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1900.00 (+1900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability5.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +2.9%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: ALarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price jumped +2.9pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
- Sentiment divergence: active NO-buying pressure
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$1.8M
Liquidity$237K
Current Probability5%
Resolves in19d
Low VolatilityVol: 43.8% → 18.4%
20 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert