US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects YES (100%). Momentum is strong up. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$0.00 (0%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability100.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong up24h Price Change: +51.3%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: AInformed flowPrice stable for 38 days
- Price jumped +51.3pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong up
- Volume trend: cooling
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$415K
Liquidity$37.7M
Current Probability100%
Resolves in1mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 0.9%
52 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
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