Netanyahu out by June 30?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (96% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1900.00 (+1900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability5.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: steadyLiquidity: AInformed flowPrice stable for 36 days
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: steady
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$65K
Liquidity$418K
Current Probability5%
Resolves in2mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
83 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
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AI Brief
Netanyahu faces coalition pressure and legal jeopardy but 5% odds suggest the market sees him surviving Israeli politics through June 2026 with high confidence. The substantial 95% NO probability reflects relative stability despite underlying political turbulence.