Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.1%Volume trend: steadyLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice forming
- Price moved -0.1pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: steady
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$82K
Liquidity$88K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in6mo
Low VolatilityVol: 9.4% → 4.7%
207 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets6
AI Brief
Christopher Waller, a current Fed Governor and Trump-allied hawk, trades at 0% despite alignment with Trump's inflation-fighting stance. The market sees no path to his promotion, suggesting consensus around keeping the existing Fed chair structure intact or selecting an outsider over internal candidates.