US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (90% NO). Momentum is rising. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$900.00 (+900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability10.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Rising24h Price Change: +5.2%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price jumped +5.2pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Rising
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$111K
Liquidity$38K
Current Probability10%
Resolves in22d
Low VolatilityVol: 27.7% → 12.0%
22 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
AI Brief
Only 10% market probability of US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30 (23 days remaining) reflects extremely tight timeframe for complex multilateral negotiations; the 6% daily gain suggests minor uptick in deal momentum, but odds remain heavily skewed to missed deadline.