Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 42% YES. Momentum is strong up. Informed flow observed. Resolves in under 24 hours.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$138.10 (+138%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability42.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong up24h Price Change: +11.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice forming
- Price jumped +11.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong up
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved up to 41.6% from 31.2% baseline — 33% shift
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$37K
Liquidity$17K
Current Probability42%
Resolves inEnded
No end dateVol: 9.7% → 6.0%
No resolution date. Volatility follows news flow.
News-driven — enter on signal, size down for uncertainty
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Anomalies
CriticalPricez=8.2