About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 48% YES. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$108.33 (+108%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability48.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +9.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice forming
- Price jumped +9.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Volume spike: Volume spiked 49% in 2h — unusual activity
- Price move: Price moved up to 50.8% from 38.3% baseline — 33% shift
- Informed flow detected
- Sentiment divergence: active YES-buying pressure
MARKET SENTIMENTBullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$14K
Liquidity$13K
Current Probability48%
Resolves in7d
Active tradingVol: 14.1% → 7.8%
7d to resolution. Active trading window — peak volatility expected.
Peak vol window — best for active traders
Related Markets2
Anomalies
CriticalVolz=4.4
WarningPricez=2.8