Will Fidesz-KDNP win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 48% YES. Momentum is strong up. Large trader flow is active. Resolves in under 24 hours.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$108.33 (+108%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability48.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong up24h Price Change: +8.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price jumped +8.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong up
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved up to 46.7% from 39.6% baseline — 18% shift
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$6K
Liquidity$23K
Current Probability48%
Resolves in16h
ConvergenceVol: 7.4% → 6.5%
Last 16h. Prices converging sharply toward resolution.
Convergence starting — sharp moves likely in next 24h
Related Markets1
Anomalies
CriticalPricez=14.1