Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 89% NO. Momentum is falling.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$809.09 (+809%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability11.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -6.0%Volume trend: steadyLiquidity: BMixed flowPrice stable for 25 days
- Price dropped -6.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: steady
- Price move: Price moved up to 10.9% from 10.5% baseline — 3% shift
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$18K
Liquidity$13K
Current Probability11%
Resolves in22d
Low VolatilityVol: 2.1% → 1.8%
22 days until resolution. Price movements are small and steady.
Trending but far out — price may revert
AI Brief
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by April 30 holds 20% odds with a unusual +6% spike, hinting at recent news or intelligence suggesting the Supreme Leader's son may emerge from seclusion or alleged custody amid succession uncertainties. The thin liquidity ($11K) signals speculative interest rather than institutional conviction.
Anomalies
WarningPricez=2.8