Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 47% YES. Informed flow observed. Resolves in 3 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$112.77 (+113%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability47.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -4.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice forming
- Price dropped -4.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved down to 45.8% from 50.9% baseline — 10% shift
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$7K
Liquidity$17K
Current Probability47%
Resolves in2d
Active tradingVol: 4.1% → 3.7%
3d to resolution. Active trading window — peak volatility expected.
Peak vol window — best for active traders
Related Markets1
Anomalies
WarningPricez=3.4