About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 53% YES. Large trader flow is active. Resolves in under 24 hours.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Senators wins+$88.68 (+89%)
If Islanders wins-$100.00
Break-even probability53.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +0.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice stable for 26 days
- Price moved +0.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$20K
Liquidity$87K
Current Probability53%
Resolves in2h
Final hourVol: 0.4% → 0.4%
Last 3h. Price nearly settled. Minimal movement expected.
Near settlement — exit window or hold to resolution