Will Trump visit China by May 31?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Slight YES lean at 69%. Momentum is falling. Resolves in under 24 hours.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$44.93 (+45%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability69.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -4.0%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: BMixed flowPrice stable for 22 days
- Price dropped -4.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: cooling
- Price move: Price moved down to 69.1% from 71.8% baseline — 4% shift
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$20K
Liquidity$51K
Current Probability69%
Resolves in1mo
Low VolatilityVol: 1.4% → 1.5%
53 days until resolution. Price movements are small and steady.
Trending but far out — price may revert
AI Brief
Trump visiting China by May 31 is priced at a strong 83%, reflecting expectations of active US-China diplomacy or a direct presidential summit before spring ends. The May deadline is the near-term catalyst driving this high conviction.
Anomalies
CriticalPricez=3.8