Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Slight YES lean at 61%. Momentum is falling. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$63.93 (+64%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability61.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -7.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price dropped -7.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$38K
Liquidity$18K
Current Probability61%
Resolves in2mo
Low VolatilityVol: 8.3% → 4.2%
83 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
AI Brief
Israeli forces crossing the Litani River by June 30 hit 67% probability with a strong +19% surge in 24 hours, suggesting recent escalation in Israel-Hezbollah tensions or military developments. The catalyst window is immediate; any major Israeli operation or Lebanese border incident in the next months could shift this sharply in either direction.