Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans YES at 71%. Momentum is strong up. Large trader flow is active. Resolves in 5 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$40.85 (+41%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability71.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong up24h Price Change: +7.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice stable for 19 days
- Price jumped +7.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong up
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$18K
Liquidity$25K
Current Probability71%
Resolves in4d
Active tradingVol: 1.4% → 2.6%
4d to resolution. Active trading window — peak volatility expected.
Momentum building — watch for breakout signals
AI Brief
Keiko Fujimori enters the first round of Peru's April 12 presidential election as the strong favorite at 77%, reflecting consistent polling showing her ahead of other candidates in preliminary voting. The market's recent +15.5% rally suggests growing confidence in her first-place finish as the election approaches in just days.