About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Slight YES lean at 64%. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$56.25 (+56%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability64.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -11.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice stable for 18 days
- Price dropped -11.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$14K
Liquidity$11K
Current Probability64%
Resolves in22d
Low VolatilityVol: 2.9% → 2.1%
22 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets6
AI Brief
Apple is strongly positioned at 74% to finish second globally, serving as the consensus backup to NVIDIA's #1 ranking. The market is effectively betting on NVIDIA at top and Apple runner-up by month-end, with the 1.5% 24h price dip suggesting some profit-taking after traders established the position. This outcome pins Apple ahead of Microsoft and other mega-caps but behind the AI leader.