About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowOutflowPrice stable for 18 days
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$2K
Liquidity$15K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in22d
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
22 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
AI Brief
NVIDIA at third-largest company is priced as a 3% outsider—a correct assessment given Apple and Saudi Aramco's dominance; the market would need to see NVIDIA value spike ~$5T while competitors stall, making this a low-conviction tail bet unlikely before April 30.