About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 76% NO. Momentum is strong up. Predominantly retail flow.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$300.00 (+300%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability25.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong up24h Price Change: +10.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: DRetail pressurePrice forming
- Price jumped +10.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong up
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved up to 23.8% from 21.8% baseline — 9% shift
- Retail pressure observed
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$211
Liquidity$4K
Current Probability25%
Resolves in22d
Low VolatilityVol: 3.8% → 2.4%
22 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Anomalies
CriticalPricez=5.9